8 political predictions for 2018
Las Vegas Review-Journal
December 30, 2017
t’s time to put my credibility as a pundit on the line and offer eight political predictions for 2018.
1. Recalls go forward. Democrats have offered plenty of bluster to the media about invalid signatures on the recall petitions, but the numbers don’t back it up. Consider the recall of state Sen. Nicole Cannizzaro. Recall supporters turned in 16,875 signatures. Election officials said 89 percent were valid. Recall opponents turned in 1,273 removal requests. Election officials found just 36 percent were valid.
That leaves recall opponents relying on constitutionally dubious post-submission withdrawals. While it’s always dangerous to assume the state Supreme Court will follow the constitution, I think the justices get this one right and give voters the final word.
2. Preventing sanctuary state initiative qualifies, wins. Six years ago, the immigration debate in Nevada centered around blanket amnesty. Now, it’s about whether illegal aliens who commit additional crimes should be deported or released.
While then-candidate Donald Trump pioneered that incredible act of political jujitsu , state Senate Minority Leader Michael Roberson has brought it to Nevada. He’s sponsoring a constitutional amendment to prevent sanctuary jurisdictions in Nevada. Qualifying initiatives is all about raising money, a talent at which Roberson excels. If the initiative makes the ballot, it’ll win and boost Republican candidates.
READ MORE HERE